Home/Portugal Tips/Tondela vs Rio Ave
Primeira LigaMonday, 09 March 2026 · Full-time0-1✕
TON

Tondela

VS
RIO

Rio Ave

Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction

Over2.5 goals
55% confidence

Why we picked this for Tondela vs Rio Ave

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Tondela against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga), rated at 55% confidence. Matches involving Tondela produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Rio Ave it is 2.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. The 55% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Tondela last 5
2.0
avg goals, Rio Ave last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Tondela
Tondela 2-2 Santa Clara
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Estrela da Amadora 0-2 Tondela
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Tondela 1-1 Alverca
Feb 13, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Estoril 2-2 Tondela
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Tondela 0-0 Benfica
Feb 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rio Ave
Rio Ave 0-0 Famalicao
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rio Ave 1-2 Moreirense
Feb 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Sporting de Braga 3-0 Rio Ave
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Rio Ave 0-3 Arouca
Jan 31, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Tondela vs Rio Ave, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 05, 2025Rio AveTondela3-0
Over 2.5✓
Feb 09, 2021Rio AveTondela2-1
Over 2.5✓
Sep 20, 2020TondelaRio Ave1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 22, 2020TondelaRio Ave1-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 15, 2019Rio AveTondela2-4
Over 2.5✓