Home/England Tips/Millwall vs Derby County
ChampionshipTuesday, 10 March 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
MIL

Millwall

VS
DER

Derby County

Millwall vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Millwall vs Derby County

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Millwall against Derby County (Championship), rated at 99% confidence. Matches involving Millwall produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 3.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 99% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Millwall last 5
3.4
avg goals, Derby County last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Millwall
Hull City 1-3 Millwall
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Preston North End 0-2 Millwall
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Millwall 3-0 Birmingham
Feb 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Millwall 1-3 Portsmouth
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Millwall
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County
Derby County 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 3-1 Blackburn Rovers
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Hull City 4-2 Derby County
Feb 24, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Watford 2-0 Derby County
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 2-0 Swansea
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Millwall vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 10, 2025Derby CountyMillwall1-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 22, 2025Derby CountyMillwall0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 19, 2024MillwallDerby County1-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 23, 2022Derby CountyMillwall1-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 06, 2021MillwallDerby County1-1
Under 2.5✓