Home/UEFA Tips/Paris SG vs Chelsea
Champions LeagueWednesday, 11 March 2026 · Full-time5-2✕
PAR

Paris SG

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Paris SG vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
100% confidence

Why we picked this for Paris SG vs Chelsea

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Paris SG against Chelsea (Champions League), rated at 100% confidence. Matches involving Paris SG produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Chelsea it is 3.6 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 100%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 5-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Paris SG last 5
3.6
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Paris SG
Paris SG 1-3 AS Monaco
Mar 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Le Havre 0-1 Paris SG
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Paris SG 2-2 AS Monaco
Feb 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 3-0 Metz
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
AS Monaco 2-3 Paris SG
Feb 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea
Wrexham 2-2 Chelsea
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea
Mar 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 1-1 Burnley
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Hull City 0-4 Chelsea
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last meeting

Paris SG vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 13, 2025ChelseaParis SG3-0
Over 2.5✕