Home/Brazil Tips/Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras
Serie AThursday, 12 March 2026 · Full-time2-1✕
VAS

Vasco da Gama

VS
PAL

Palmeiras

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction

Under2.5 goals
68% confidence

Why we picked this for Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras

For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras, at 68% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Vasco da Gama's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Palmeiras's games averaged 4.2, with 5 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 68%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Vasco da Gama last 5
4.2
avg goals, Palmeiras last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Vasco da Gama
Santos SP 2-1 Vasco da Gama
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense
Feb 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Mirassol 2-1 Vasco da Gama
Jan 30, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG 5-0 Vasco da Gama
Dec 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Palmeiras
Palmeiras 2-1 Fluminense RJ
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Internacional RS 1-3 Palmeiras
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Palmeiras 5-1 Vitoria BA
Feb 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-2 Palmeiras
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Ceará 1-3 Palmeiras
Dec 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 02, 2025PalmeirasVasco da Gama3-0
Over 2.5✕
May 04, 2025Vasco da GamaPalmeiras0-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 22, 2024Vasco da GamaPalmeiras0-1
Under 2.5✓
Jun 14, 2024PalmeirasVasco da Gama2-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 27, 2023PalmeirasVasco da Gama1-0
Under 2.5✓