Home/Brazil Tips/Vitoria BA vs Atletico MG
Serie ASaturday, 14 March 2026 · Full-time2-0✕
VIT

Vitoria BA

VS
ATL

Atletico MG

Vitoria BA vs Atletico MG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
68% confidence

Why we picked this for Vitoria BA vs Atletico MG

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Vitoria BA vs Atletico MG, at 68% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Vitoria BA's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Atletico MG's games averaged 3.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 68% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
2.8
avg goals, Vitoria BA last 5
3.0
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Vitoria BA
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria BA
Mar 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria BA 1-2 Flamengo
Feb 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras 5-1 Vitoria BA
Feb 05, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Vitoria BA 2-0 Remo PA
Jan 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria BA 1-0 Sao Paulo SP
Dec 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG
Atletico MG 1-0 Internacional RS
Mar 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Gremio 2-1 Atletico MG
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico MG 3-3 Remo PA
Feb 12, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Bragantino 1-0 Atletico MG
Feb 04, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-2 Palmeiras
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Vitoria BA vs Atletico MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 31, 2025Vitoria BAAtletico MG1-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 14, 2025Atletico MGVitoria BA2-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 05, 2024Atletico MGVitoria BA2-2
Over 2.5✓
Jun 20, 2024Vitoria BAAtletico MG4-2
Over 2.5✓
Aug 26, 2018Vitoria BAAtletico MG1-0
Under 2.5✕