Home/USA Tips/Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union
Major League SoccerSaturday, 14 March 2026 · Full-time3-1✓
ATL

Atlanta United

VS
PHI

Philadelphia Union

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Over2.5 goals
90% confidence

Why we picked this for Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union

Our pick for Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer is Over 2.5 goals, with 90% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Atlanta United's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Philadelphia Union (1.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 90%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Atlanta United last 5
1.8
avg goals, Philadelphia Union last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atlanta United
Atlanta United 2-3 Real Salt Lake
Mar 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 Atlanta United
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atlanta United 1-1 DC United
Oct 19, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Inter Miami 4-0 Atlanta United
Oct 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes
Mar 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Philadelphia Union 1-2 New York City
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
DC United 1-0 Philadelphia Union
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Philadelphia Union 0-1 New York City
Nov 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 18, 2025Atlanta UnitedPhiladelphia Union0-1
Under 2.5✕
Apr 20, 2025Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United3-0
Over 2.5✓
Sep 29, 2024Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United1-1
Under 2.5✕
Apr 14, 2024Atlanta UnitedPhiladelphia Union2-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 05, 2023Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United3-2
Over 2.5✓