Home/Uruguay Tips/CA Cerro vs Progresso
Primera DivisionSaturday, 14 March 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
CA

CA Cerro

VS
PRO

Progresso

CA Cerro vs Progresso Prediction

Under2.5 goals
75% confidence

Why we picked this for CA Cerro vs Progresso

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for CA Cerro vs Progresso, at 75% confidence. In their last 5 matches, CA Cerro's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Progresso's games averaged 2.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 4 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 75% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, CA Cerro last 5
2.8
avg goals, Progresso last 5
25%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

CA Cerro
Racing Club de Montevideo 1-0 CA Cerro
Mar 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
CA Cerro 1-1 Boston River
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓
CA Cerro 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Albion Montevideo 3-0 CA Cerro
Feb 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
CA Cerro 0-1 Danubio
Feb 10, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Progresso
Progresso 2-2 Albion Montevideo
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Danubio 2-2 Progresso
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Progresso 0-1 Club Nacional Montevideo
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progresso
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Progresso 0-3 Central Esp.
Feb 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

CA Cerro vs Progresso, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 05, 2025ProgressoCA Cerro2-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2025CA CerroProgresso0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 14, 2024ProgressoCA Cerro0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 01, 2024CA CerroProgresso2-3
Over 2.5✕