Serie ASunday, 15 March 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
LAZ
Lazio
VS
AC
AC Milan
Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction
Under2.5 goals
99% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Lazio vs AC Milan
Our pick for Lazio vs AC Milan in Serie A is Under 2.5 goals, with 99% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Lazio's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for AC Milan (1.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.
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2.2
avg goals, Lazio last 5
1.8
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Lazio
Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo
Over 2.5✕Mar 09, 2026
Lazio 2-2 Atalanta
Over 2.5✕Mar 04, 2026
Torino 2-0 Lazio
Under 2.5✓Mar 01, 2026
Cagliari Calcio 0-0 Lazio
Under 2.5✓Feb 21, 2026
Lazio 0-2 Atalanta
Under 2.5✓Feb 14, 2026
AC Milan
AC Milan 1-0 Inter Milan
Under 2.5✓Mar 08, 2026
Cremonese 0-2 AC Milan
Under 2.5✓Mar 01, 2026
AC Milan 0-1 Parma
Under 2.5✓Feb 22, 2026
AC Milan 1-1 Como
Under 2.5✓Feb 18, 2026
Pisa 1909 1-2 AC Milan
Over 2.5✕Feb 13, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Lazio vs AC Milan, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 04, 2025 | Lazio | AC Milan | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 29, 2025 | AC Milan | Lazio | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 02, 2025 | AC Milan | Lazio | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Lazio | AC Milan | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Lazio | AC Milan | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |