Home/Portugal Tips/Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
Primeira LigaSunday, 15 March 2026 · Full-time2-1✓
RIO

Rio Ave

VS
EST

Estrela da Amadora

Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora Prediction

Over2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora

Our pick for Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora in Primeira Liga is Over 2.5 goals, with 87% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Rio Ave's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Estrela da Amadora (2.0 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 87% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, Rio Ave last 5
2.0
avg goals, Estrela da Amadora last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Rio Ave
Tondela 0-1 Rio Ave
Mar 09, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rio Ave 0-0 Famalicao
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rio Ave 1-2 Moreirense
Feb 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Sporting de Braga 3-0 Rio Ave
Feb 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Estrela da Amadora
Estrela da Amadora 2-2 Gil Vicente
Mar 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
AVS 0-0 Estrela da Amadora
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 0-2 Tondela
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 Estrela da Amadora
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Estrela da Amadora 1-0 Santa Clara
Feb 07, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 25, 2025Estrela da AmadoraRio Ave1-2
Over 2.5✓
May 05, 2025Rio AveEstrela da Amadora2-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 23, 2024Estrela da AmadoraRio Ave1-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 14, 2024Estrela da AmadoraRio Ave2-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 02, 2023Rio AveEstrela da Amadora1-1
Under 2.5✕