Home/Brazil Tips/Chapecoense vs Gremio
Serie AMonday, 16 March 2026 · Full-time1-1✓
CHA

Chapecoense

VS
GRE

Gremio

Chapecoense vs Gremio Prediction

Under2.5 goals
79% confidence

Why we picked this for Chapecoense vs Gremio

For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Chapecoense vs Gremio, at 79% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chapecoense's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Gremio's games averaged 3.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 79%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Chapecoense last 5
3.6
avg goals, Gremio last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chapecoense
Sao Paulo SP 2-0 Chapecoense
Mar 13, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chapecoense 3-3 Coritiba
Feb 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense
Feb 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chapecoense 4-2 Santos SP
Jan 29, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Chapecoense 1-0 Atletico GO
Nov 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Gremio
Gremio 1-1 Bragantino
Mar 13, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 2-1 Atletico MG
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sao Paulo SP 2-0 Gremio
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 5-3 Botafogo RJ
Feb 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Fluminense RJ 2-1 Gremio
Jan 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Chapecoense vs Gremio, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 26, 2022ChapecoenseGremio0-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 16, 2022GremioChapecoense0-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 20, 2021ChapecoenseGremio1-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 10, 2021GremioChapecoense2-1
Over 2.5✕
Nov 10, 2019ChapecoenseGremio0-1
Under 2.5✓