Home/Portugal Tips/Moreirense vs Arouca
Primeira LigaSaturday, 21 March 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
MOR

Moreirense

VS
ARO

Arouca

Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Under2.5 goals
59% confidence

Why we picked this for Moreirense vs Arouca

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Moreirense vs Arouca, at 59% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Moreirense's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Arouca's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. The 59% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Moreirense last 5
3.2
avg goals, Arouca last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Moreirense
Porto 3-0 Moreirense
Mar 15, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Moreirense 1-1 Nacional
Mar 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Casa Pia Atletico 1-1 Moreirense
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Moreirense 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Rio Ave 1-2 Moreirense
Feb 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Arouca
Arouca 1-2 Benfica
Mar 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Famalicao 1-0 Arouca
Mar 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Porto 3-1 Arouca
Feb 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 3-0 Nacional
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Casa Pia Atletico 3-2 Arouca
Feb 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Moreirense vs Arouca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 02, 2025AroucaMoreirense0-2
Under 2.5✓
Jan 24, 2025AroucaMoreirense1-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 18, 2024MoreirenseArouca3-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 17, 2024MoreirenseArouca1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 27, 2023AroucaMoreirense0-1
Under 2.5✓