Home/England Tips/Everton vs Chelsea
Premier LeagueSaturday, 21 March 2026 · Full-time3-0✕
EVE

Everton

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Everton vs Chelsea

Our pick for Everton vs Chelsea in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 99% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Everton's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Chelsea (4.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Everton last 5
4.0
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Everton
Arsenal 2-0 Everton
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Everton 2-0 Burnley
Mar 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Newcastle 2-3 Everton
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Everton 0-1 Manchester United
Feb 23, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Everton 1-2 Bournemouth
Feb 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea
Chelsea 0-3 Paris SG
Mar 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Paris SG 5-2 Chelsea
Mar 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Wrexham 2-2 Chelsea
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea
Mar 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Everton vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 13, 2025ChelseaEverton2-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 26, 2025ChelseaEverton1-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 22, 2024EvertonChelsea0-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 15, 2024ChelseaEverton6-0
Over 2.5✕
Dec 10, 2023EvertonChelsea2-0
Under 2.5✓