Ligue 1Sunday, 22 March 2026 · Full-time1-2✕
MAR
Marseille
VS
LIL
Lille OSC
Marseille vs Lille OSC Prediction
Under2.5 goals
83% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Marseille vs Lille OSC
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Marseille against Lille OSC (Ligue 1), rated at 83% confidence. Matches involving Marseille produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Lille OSC it is 1.8 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 83% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.6
avg goals, Marseille last 5
1.8
avg goals, Lille OSC last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Marseille
Marseille 1-0 Auxerre
Under 2.5✓Mar 13, 2026
Toulouse 0-1 Marseille
Under 2.5✓Mar 07, 2026
Marseille 3-2 Lyon
Over 2.5✕Mar 01, 2026
Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Marseille
Under 2.5✓Feb 20, 2026
Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Over 2.5✕Feb 14, 2026
Lille OSC
Aston Villa 2-0 Lille OSC
Under 2.5✓Mar 19, 2026
Stade Rennais 1-2 Lille OSC
Over 2.5✕Mar 15, 2026
Lille OSC 0-1 Aston Villa
Under 2.5✓Mar 12, 2026
Lille OSC 1-1 Lorient
Under 2.5✓Mar 08, 2026
Lille OSC 1-0 Nantes
Under 2.5✓Mar 01, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Marseille vs Lille OSC, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 05, 2025 | Lille OSC | Marseille | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 04, 2025 | Lille OSC | Marseille | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Marseille | Lille OSC | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 05, 2024 | Lille OSC | Marseille | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Marseille | Lille OSC | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |