Primera DivisionSunday, 22 March 2026 · Full-time3-2✓
REA
Real Madrid
VS
ATL
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Over2.5 goals
81% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
Our pick for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid in Primera Division is Over 2.5 goals, with 81% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Atletico Madrid (4.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. A confidence of 81% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 3-2, so Over 2.5 landed.
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3.0
avg goals, Real Madrid last 5
4.2
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Real Madrid
Manchester City 1-2 Real Madrid
Over 2.5✓Mar 17, 2026
Real Madrid 4-1 Elche
Over 2.5✓Mar 14, 2026
Real Madrid 3-0 Manchester City
Over 2.5✓Mar 11, 2026
Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid
Over 2.5✓Mar 06, 2026
Real Madrid 0-1 Getafe
Under 2.5✕Mar 02, 2026
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 Atletico Madrid
Over 2.5✓Mar 18, 2026
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe
Under 2.5✕Mar 14, 2026
Atletico Madrid 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Over 2.5✓Mar 10, 2026
Atletico Madrid 3-2 Real Sociedad
Over 2.5✓Mar 07, 2026
Barcelona 3-0 Atletico Madrid
Over 2.5✓Mar 03, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 08, 2026 | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 5-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |