Arsenal
Manchester City
Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Manchester City
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Arsenal against Manchester City (EFL Trophy), rated at 63% confidence. Matches involving Arsenal produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Manchester City it is 3.2 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 63%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 0-2. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal vs Manchester City, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Arsenal | Manchester City | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Arsenal | Manchester City | 5-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Manchester City | Arsenal | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Manchester City | Arsenal | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Arsenal | Manchester City | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |