Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional Montevideo
Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional Montevideo Prediction
Why we picked this for Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional Montevideo
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Defensor Sporting against Club Nacional Montevideo (Primera Division), rated at 68% confidence. Matches involving Defensor Sporting produced 0.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 0 of those went over 2.5. For Club Nacional Montevideo it is 2.0 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 1 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 68% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional Montevideo, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 09, 2025 | Defensor Sporting | Club Nacional Montevideo | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 18, 2025 | Club Nacional Montevideo | Defensor Sporting | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Club Nacional Montevideo | Defensor Sporting | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Defensor Sporting | Club Nacional Montevideo | 3-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 05, 2023 | Club Nacional Montevideo | Defensor Sporting | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |