EredivisieSunday, 22 March 2026 · Full-time3-0✓
GRO
Groningen
VS
AZ
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Over2.5 goals
85% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar
Our pick for Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie is Over 2.5 goals, with 85% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Groningen's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 5 of 5 for AZ Alkmaar (3.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.
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3.4
avg goals, Groningen last 5
3.4
avg goals, AZ Alkmaar last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
9 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Groningen
PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen
Under 2.5✕Mar 13, 2026
Groningen 3-1 Ajax
Over 2.5✓Mar 07, 2026
Volendam 3-2 Groningen
Over 2.5✓Mar 01, 2026
Twente 2-1 Groningen
Over 2.5✓Feb 22, 2026
Groningen 1-2 Utrecht
Over 2.5✓Feb 14, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Prague 0-4 AZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5✓Mar 19, 2026
AZ Alkmaar 4-0 Heracles Almelo
Over 2.5✓Mar 15, 2026
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta Prague
Over 2.5✓Mar 12, 2026
PSV 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5✓Mar 07, 2026
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Stormvogels Telstar
Over 2.5✓Mar 04, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | Groningen | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | Groningen | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 18, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | Groningen | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Groningen | AZ Alkmaar | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 11, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | Groningen | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |