Home/Brazil Tips/Vasco da Gama vs Gremio
Serie ASunday, 22 March 2026 · Full-time2-1✕
VAS

Vasco da Gama

VS
GRE

Gremio

Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Prediction

Under2.5 goals
67% confidence

Why we picked this for Vasco da Gama vs Gremio

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Vasco da Gama against Gremio (Serie A), rated at 67% confidence. Matches involving Vasco da Gama produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Gremio it is 3.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 67%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Vasco da Gama last 5
3.4
avg goals, Gremio last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro MG 3-3 Vasco da Gama
Mar 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras
Mar 12, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Santos SP 2-1 Vasco da Gama
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense
Feb 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio
Chapecoense 1-1 Gremio
Mar 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 1-1 Bragantino
Mar 13, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 2-1 Atletico MG
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sao Paulo SP 2-0 Gremio
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 5-3 Botafogo RJ
Feb 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Vasco da Gama vs Gremio, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 20, 2025GremioVasco da Gama2-0
Under 2.5✓
Jul 19, 2025Vasco da GamaGremio1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jul 29, 2024GremioVasco da Gama1-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 14, 2024Vasco da GamaGremio2-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 03, 2023GremioVasco da Gama1-0
Under 2.5✓