Home/International Tips/United States vs Portugal
FriendliesWednesday, 01 April 2026 · Full-time0-2✓
UNI

United States

VS
POR

Portugal

United States vs Portugal Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for United States vs Portugal

Under 2.5 goals is our call for United States against Portugal (Friendlies), rated at 99% confidence. Matches involving United States produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Portugal it is 3.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. A confidence of 99% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-2, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, United States last 5
3.4
avg goals, Portugal last 5
—
no previous meetings
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

United States
United States 2-5 Belgium
Mar 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Costa Rica 2-0 United States
Mar 31, 2022
Under 2.5✓
United States 5-1 Panama
Mar 28, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Mexico 0-0 United States
Mar 25, 2022
Under 2.5✓
United States 3-0 Honduras
Feb 03, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Portugal
Mexico 0-0 Portugal
Mar 29, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Portugal 9-1 Armenia
Nov 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rep of Ireland 2-0 Portugal
Nov 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Portugal 2-2 Hungary
Oct 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Portugal 1-0 Rep of Ireland
Oct 11, 2025
Under 2.5✓