Home/Portugal Tips/Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara
Primeira LigaFriday, 03 April 2026 · Full-time4-2✕
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

VS
SAN

Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara Prediction

Under2.5 goals
66% confidence

Why we picked this for Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Sporting Lisbon against Santa Clara (Primeira Liga), rated at 66% confidence. Matches involving Sporting Lisbon produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 5 of those went over 2.5. For Santa Clara it is 2.0 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 66% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 4-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
2.0
avg goals, Santa Clara last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sporting Lisbon
Alverca 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Mar 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Bodo/Glimt
Mar 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Sporting Lisbon
Mar 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sporting de Braga 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estoril
Feb 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Santa Clara
Santa Clara 1-0 Gil Vicente
Mar 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
AVS 0-1 Santa Clara
Mar 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Santa Clara 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Mar 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Tondela 2-2 Santa Clara
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara
Feb 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 08, 2025Santa ClaraSporting Lisbon1-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 12, 2025Santa ClaraSporting Lisbon0-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 30, 2024Sporting LisbonSanta Clara0-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 01, 2023Sporting LisbonSanta Clara3-0
Over 2.5✕
Oct 08, 2022Santa ClaraSporting Lisbon1-2
Over 2.5✕