Home/Mexico Tips/Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXSaturday, 04 April 2026 · Full-time1-0✕
QUE

Queretaro

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
62% confidence

Why we picked this for Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca

For this Liga MX fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca, at 62% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Queretaro's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Deportivo Toluca's games averaged 3.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 62% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Queretaro last 5
3.0
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Queretaro
Atlas 0-0 Queretaro
Mar 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Tigres 0-0 Queretaro
Mar 16, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Queretaro 1-2 Club America
Mar 08, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Monterrey 4-0 Queretaro
Mar 05, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Queretaro 2-2 Santos Laguna
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca
Pachuca 1-1 Deportivo Toluca
Mar 23, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Atlas
Mar 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 3-1 Juarez FC
Mar 09, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Pumas UNAM 2-3 Deportivo Toluca
Mar 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 2-0 Guadalajara
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 19, 2025Deportivo TolucaQueretaro4-0
Over 2.5✓
Feb 27, 2025Deportivo TolucaQueretaro5-0
Over 2.5✓
Oct 19, 2024QueretaroDeportivo Toluca0-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 13, 2024QueretaroDeportivo Toluca2-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 08, 2023Deportivo TolucaQueretaro3-1
Over 2.5✓