Lecce
Atalanta
Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction
Why we picked this for Lecce vs Atalanta
Our pick for Lecce vs Atalanta in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 58% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Lecce's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Atalanta (3.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-3, so Over 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Lecce vs Atalanta, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atalanta | Lecce | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atalanta | Lecce | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Lecce | Atalanta | 0-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 18, 2024 | Lecce | Atalanta | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Atalanta | Lecce | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |