Premier LeagueSaturday, 11 April 2026 · Full-time0-2✓
BUR
Burnley
VS
BRI
Brighton
Burnley vs Brighton Prediction
Under2.5 goals
85% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Brighton
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Burnley against Brighton (Premier League), rated at 85% confidence. Matches involving Burnley produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Brighton it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 85% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-2, so Under 2.5 landed.
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3.0
avg goals, Burnley last 5
2.0
avg goals, Brighton last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Burnley
Fulham 3-1 Burnley
Over 2.5✕Mar 21, 2026
Burnley 0-0 Bournemouth
Under 2.5✓Mar 14, 2026
Everton 2-0 Burnley
Under 2.5✓Mar 03, 2026
Burnley 3-4 Brentford
Over 2.5✕Feb 28, 2026
Chelsea 1-1 Burnley
Under 2.5✓Feb 21, 2026
Brighton
Brighton 2-1 Liverpool
Over 2.5✕Mar 21, 2026
Sunderland 0-1 Brighton
Under 2.5✓Mar 14, 2026
Brighton 0-1 Arsenal
Under 2.5✓Mar 04, 2026
Brighton 2-1 Nottm Forest
Over 2.5✕Mar 01, 2026
Brentford 0-2 Brighton
Under 2.5✓Feb 21, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Burnley vs Brighton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 03, 2026 | Brighton | Burnley | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Burnley | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Brighton | Burnley | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Brighton | Burnley | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Burnley | Brighton | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |