Southampton
Derby County
Southampton vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Southampton vs Derby County
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Southampton against Derby County (Championship), rated at 80% confidence. Matches involving Southampton produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 2.0 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
The head-to-head points the same way: 2 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. A confidence of 80% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Southampton vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04, 2025 | Derby County | Southampton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jan 16, 2019 | Southampton | Derby County | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 05, 2019 | Derby County | Southampton | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |