Home/USA Tips/Toronto FC vs Cincinnati
Major League SoccerSaturday, 11 April 2026 · Full-time1-1✓
TOR

Toronto FC

VS
CIN

Cincinnati

Toronto FC vs Cincinnati Prediction

Under2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Toronto FC vs Cincinnati

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Toronto FC against Cincinnati (Major League Soccer), rated at 74% confidence. Matches involving Toronto FC produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Cincinnati it is 4.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Toronto FC last 5
4.4
avg goals, Cincinnati last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Toronto FC
Toronto FC 3-2 Colorado Rapids
Apr 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Toronto FC 2-1 Columbus Crew
Mar 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Toronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Cincinnati 0-1 Toronto FC
Mar 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Toronto FC
Mar 01, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls 4-2 Cincinnati
Apr 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cincinnati 4-3 Montreal Impact
Mar 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
New England Revolution 6-1 Cincinnati
Mar 15, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cincinnati 0-1 Toronto FC
Mar 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Minnesota United 1-0 Cincinnati
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Toronto FC vs Cincinnati, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 09, 2026CincinnatiToronto FC0-1
Under 2.5✓
May 15, 2025Toronto FCCincinnati0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 09, 2025CincinnatiToronto FC2-0
Under 2.5✓
May 26, 2024Toronto FCCincinnati3-4
Over 2.5✕
Feb 25, 2024CincinnatiToronto FC0-0
Under 2.5✓