Mainz 05
Freiburg
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction
Why we picked this for Mainz 05 vs Freiburg
Our pick for Mainz 05 vs Freiburg in Bundesliga is Over 2.5 goals, with 100% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Mainz 05's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Freiburg (3.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 100% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 0-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
Recommended bookmakers
Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Freiburg | Mainz 05 | 4-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mainz 05 | Freiburg | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 03, 2024 | Freiburg | Mainz 05 | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Freiburg | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Mainz 05 | Freiburg | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |