Home/Brazil Tips/Santos SP vs Atletico MG
Serie ASaturday, 11 April 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
SAN

Santos SP

VS
ATL

Atletico MG

Santos SP vs Atletico MG Prediction

Under2.5 goals
82% confidence

Why we picked this for Santos SP vs Atletico MG

For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Santos SP vs Atletico MG, at 82% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Santos SP's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Atletico MG's games averaged 3.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 82%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Santos SP last 5
3.0
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Santos SP
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Santos SP
Apr 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Santos SP 1-1 Corinthians
Mar 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Mirassol 2-2 Santos SP
Mar 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Santos SP 2-1 Vasco da Gama
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico PR 2-1 Santos SP
Feb 12, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG
Puerto Cabello 2-1 Atletico MG
Apr 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vitoria BA 2-0 Atletico MG
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Atletico MG 1-0 Internacional RS
Mar 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 2-1 Atletico MG
Feb 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG 3-3 Remo PA
Feb 12, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Santos SP vs Atletico MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 14, 2025Atletico MGSantos SP1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 17, 2025Santos SPAtletico MG2-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 27, 2023Atletico MGSantos SP2-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 23, 2023Santos SPAtletico MG0-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 06, 2022Santos SPAtletico MG1-2
Over 2.5✕