Home/France Tips/Lorient vs Marseille
Ligue 1Saturday, 18 April 2026 · Full-time2-0✕
LOR

Lorient

VS
MAR

Marseille

Lorient vs Marseille Prediction

Over2.5 goals
79% confidence

Why we picked this for Lorient vs Marseille

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Lorient against Marseille (Ligue 1), rated at 79% confidence. Matches involving Lorient produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Marseille it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. A confidence of 79% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 2-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Lorient last 5
2.4
avg goals, Marseille last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lorient
Lyon 2-0 Lorient
Apr 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Lorient 1-1 FC Paris
Apr 05, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 1-0 Lorient
Mar 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Lorient 2-1 Lens
Mar 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Lille OSC 1-1 Lorient
Mar 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Marseille
Marseille 3-1 Metz
Apr 10, 2026
Over 2.5✓
AS Monaco 2-1 Marseille
Apr 05, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 1-2 Lille OSC
Mar 22, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 1-0 Auxerre
Mar 13, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 0-1 Marseille
Mar 07, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Lorient vs Marseille, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 12, 2025MarseilleLorient4-0
Over 2.5✓
May 12, 2024MarseilleLorient3-1
Over 2.5✓
Dec 10, 2023LorientMarseille2-4
Over 2.5✓
Apr 09, 2023LorientMarseille0-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 14, 2023MarseilleLorient3-1
Over 2.5✓