Primeira LigaSaturday, 18 April 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
NAC
Nacional
VS
ALV
Alverca
Nacional vs Alverca Prediction
Under2.5 goals
72% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Nacional vs Alverca
Our pick for Nacional vs Alverca in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 72% confidence. Recent form: 0 of Nacional's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Alverca (3.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 1 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. A confidence of 72% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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1.6
avg goals, Nacional last 5
3.2
avg goals, Alverca last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Nacional
Benfica 2-0 Nacional
Under 2.5✓Apr 12, 2026
Nacional 2-0 Estrela da Amadora
Under 2.5✓Apr 04, 2026
Famalicao 1-0 Nacional
Under 2.5✓Mar 21, 2026
Nacional 0-1 Estoril
Under 2.5✓Mar 15, 2026
Moreirense 1-1 Nacional
Under 2.5✓Mar 07, 2026
Alverca
Alverca 3-1 Casa Pia Atletico
Over 2.5✕Apr 12, 2026
Rio Ave 1-2 Alverca
Over 2.5✕Apr 04, 2026
Alverca 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Over 2.5✕Mar 22, 2026
Gil Vicente 2-2 Alverca
Over 2.5✕Mar 14, 2026
Alverca 0-0 AVS
Under 2.5✓Mar 07, 2026
Head to head
Last meeting
Nacional vs Alverca, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 07, 2025 | Alverca | Nacional | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |