Home/England Tips/Derby County vs Oxford United
ChampionshipSaturday, 18 April 2026 · Full-time1-0✓
DER

Derby County

VS
OXF

Oxford United

Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction

Under2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Derby County vs Oxford United

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Oxford United (Championship), rated at 81% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Oxford United it is 2.4 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 81% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Derby County last 5
2.4
avg goals, Oxford United last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Derby County
Southampton 2-1 Derby County
Apr 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 2-0 Stoke City
Apr 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Coventry City 3-2 Derby County
Apr 03, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-0 Birmingham
Mar 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Portsmouth 0-1 Derby County
Mar 16, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Oxford United
Oxford United 2-0 Watford
Apr 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Portsmouth 2-2 Oxford United
Apr 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Oxford United 1-1 Hull City
Apr 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Southampton 2-0 Oxford United
Mar 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Oxford United 1-1 Charlton Athletic
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Derby County vs Oxford United, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 18, 2025Oxford UnitedDerby County1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 11, 2025Derby CountyOxford United0-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 22, 2024Oxford UnitedDerby County1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 29, 2023Oxford UnitedDerby County2-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 15, 2023Derby CountyOxford United1-2
Over 2.5✕