Home/Italy Tips/Lecce vs Fiorentina
Serie AMonday, 20 April 2026 · Full-time1-1✓
LEC

Lecce

VS
FIO

Fiorentina

Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

Under2.5 goals
61% confidence

Why we picked this for Lecce vs Fiorentina

For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Lecce vs Fiorentina, at 61% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Lecce's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Fiorentina's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 61%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Lecce last 5
2.0
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lecce
Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Apr 12, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Lecce 0-3 Atalanta
Apr 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Roma 1-0 Lecce
Mar 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Napoli 2-1 Lecce
Mar 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lecce 2-1 Cremonese
Mar 08, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2-1 Crystal Palace
Apr 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Fiorentina 1-0 Lazio
Apr 13, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Crystal Palace 3-0 Fiorentina
Apr 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Hellas Verona 0-1 Fiorentina
Apr 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Fiorentina 1-1 Inter Milan
Mar 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Lecce vs Fiorentina, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 02, 2025FiorentinaLecce0-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 28, 2025FiorentinaLecce1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 20, 2024LecceFiorentina0-6
Over 2.5✕
Feb 02, 2024LecceFiorentina3-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 27, 2023FiorentinaLecce2-2
Over 2.5✕