Premier LeagueTuesday, 21 April 2026 · Full-time3-0✓
BRI
Brighton
VS
CHE
Chelsea
Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Over2.5 goals
60% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Brighton vs Chelsea
For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Brighton vs Chelsea, at 60% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Brighton's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Chelsea's games averaged 3.4, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 60% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-0, so Over 2.5 landed.
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2.2
avg goals, Brighton last 5
3.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Brighton
Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Brighton
Over 2.5✓Apr 18, 2026
Burnley 0-2 Brighton
Under 2.5✕Apr 11, 2026
Brighton 2-1 Liverpool
Over 2.5✓Mar 21, 2026
Sunderland 0-1 Brighton
Under 2.5✕Mar 14, 2026
Brighton 0-1 Arsenal
Under 2.5✕Mar 04, 2026
Chelsea
Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United
Under 2.5✕Apr 18, 2026
Chelsea 0-3 Manchester City
Over 2.5✓Apr 12, 2026
Chelsea 7-0 Port Vale
Over 2.5✓Apr 04, 2026
Everton 3-0 Chelsea
Over 2.5✓Mar 21, 2026
Chelsea 0-3 Paris SG
Over 2.5✓Mar 17, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Brighton vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Chelsea | Brighton | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Brighton | Chelsea | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Brighton | Chelsea | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chelsea | Brighton | 4-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 15, 2024 | Brighton | Chelsea | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |