Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao
Primera DivisionSaturday, 25 April 2026 · Full-time3-2✕
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Under2.5 goals
63% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Our pick for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 63% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Atletico Madrid's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Athletic Bilbao (2.4 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 63%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 3-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
2.4
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Elche 3-2 Atletico Madrid
Apr 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Real Sociedad
Apr 18, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
Apr 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sevilla 2-1 Atletico Madrid
Apr 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Barcelona 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Apr 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna
Apr 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Villarreal
Apr 12, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Getafe 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Apr 05, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Betis
Mar 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Girona 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Mar 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 06, 2025Athletic BilbaoAtletico Madrid1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 01, 2025Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao1-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024Athletic BilbaoAtletico Madrid0-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 27, 2024Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao3-1
Over 2.5✕
Feb 29, 2024Athletic BilbaoAtletico Madrid3-0
Over 2.5✕