Home/UEFA Tips/Paris SG vs Bayern Munich
Champions LeagueTuesday, 28 April 2026 · Full-time5-4✕
PAR

Paris SG

VS
BAY

Bayern Munich

Paris SG vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Under2.5 goals
72% confidence

Why we picked this for Paris SG vs Bayern Munich

For this Champions League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Paris SG vs Bayern Munich, at 72% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Paris SG's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Bayern Munich's games averaged 5.4, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 72% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 5-4, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Paris SG last 5
5.4
avg goals, Bayern Munich last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Paris SG
Angers SCO 0-3 Paris SG
Apr 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 3-0 Nantes
Apr 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 1-2 Lyon
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Liverpool 0-2 Paris SG
Apr 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Paris SG 2-0 Liverpool
Apr 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05 3-4 Bayern Munich
Apr 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern Munich
Apr 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Bayern Munich 4-2 Stuttgart
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Bayern Munich 4-3 Real Madrid
Apr 15, 2026
Over 2.5✕
St.Pauli 0-5 Bayern Munich
Apr 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Paris SG vs Bayern Munich, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 04, 2025Paris SGBayern Munich1-2
Over 2.5✕
Jul 05, 2025Paris SGBayern Munich2-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 26, 2024Bayern MunichParis SG1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 08, 2023Bayern MunichParis SG2-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 14, 2023Paris SGBayern Munich0-1
Under 2.5✓