Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction
Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Arsenal (Champions League), rated at 100% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 4.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 5 of those went over 2.5. For Arsenal it is 1.6 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 2 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 100%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 03, 2018 | Atletico Madrid | Arsenal | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 26, 2018 | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |


