Home/Uruguay Tips/CA Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado
Primera DivisionSaturday, 02 May 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
CA

CA Cerro

VS
DEP

Deportivo Maldonado

CA Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Under2.5 goals
66% confidence

Why we picked this for CA Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado

Under 2.5 goals is our call for CA Cerro against Deportivo Maldonado (Primera Division), rated at 66% confidence. Matches involving CA Cerro produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Deportivo Maldonado it is 1.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 66% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, CA Cerro last 5
1.8
avg goals, Deportivo Maldonado last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

CA Cerro
CA Cerro 0-1 Progresso
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Racing Club de Montevideo 1-0 CA Cerro
Mar 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
CA Cerro 1-1 Boston River
Feb 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓
CA Cerro 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo
Feb 20, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Albion Montevideo 3-0 CA Cerro
Feb 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Defensor Sporting
Mar 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
Mar 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Juventud
Mar 03, 2026
Over 2.5✕
CA Penarol 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado
Feb 23, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progresso
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

CA Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 08, 2024CA CerroDeportivo Maldonado0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 05, 2024Deportivo MaldonadoCA Cerro3-0
Over 2.5✕
Sep 04, 2023Deportivo MaldonadoCA Cerro2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jul 18, 2023Deportivo MaldonadoCA Cerro1-2
Over 2.5✕
Feb 18, 2023CA CerroDeportivo Maldonado0-0
Under 2.5✓