Home/Portugal Tips/Casa Pia Atletico vs Tondela
Primeira LigaSunday, 03 May 2026 · Full-time0-1✓
CAS

Casa Pia Atletico

VS
TON

Tondela

Casa Pia Atletico vs Tondela Prediction

Under2.5 goals
72% confidence

Why we picked this for Casa Pia Atletico vs Tondela

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Casa Pia Atletico against Tondela (Primeira Liga), rated at 72% confidence. Matches involving Casa Pia Atletico produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Tondela it is 3.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 72%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Casa Pia Atletico last 5
3.4
avg goals, Tondela last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Casa Pia Atletico
Gil Vicente 2-1 Casa Pia Atletico
Apr 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Casa Pia Atletico 0-1 Sporting de Braga
Apr 23, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Casa Pia Atletico 0-0 Santa Clara
Apr 18, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Alverca 3-1 Casa Pia Atletico
Apr 12, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Casa Pia Atletico 1-1 Benfica
Apr 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Tondela
Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Tondela
Apr 29, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Tondela 0-2 Nacional
Apr 25, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Porto 2-0 Tondela
Apr 19, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Tondela 2-2 Gil Vicente
Apr 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 5-0 Tondela
Apr 03, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last meeting

Casa Pia Atletico vs Tondela, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 21, 2025TondelaCasa Pia Atletico1-2
Over 2.5✕