Home/Colombia Tips/Independiente Medellin vs Rionegro Aguilas
Categoría Primera ASunday, 03 May 2026 · Full-time1-2✓
IND

Independiente Medellin

VS
RIO

Rionegro Aguilas

Independiente Medellin vs Rionegro Aguilas Prediction

Over2.5 goals
84% confidence

Why we picked this for Independiente Medellin vs Rionegro Aguilas

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Independiente Medellin against Rionegro Aguilas (Categoría Primera A), rated at 84% confidence. Matches involving Independiente Medellin produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Rionegro Aguilas it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 84%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
2.0
avg goals, Independiente Medellin last 5
3.4
avg goals, Rionegro Aguilas last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Cusco
May 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Fortaleza
Apr 26, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Independiente Medellin 2-0 Boyaca Chico FC
Apr 23, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Independiente Medellin
Apr 19, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Flamengo 4-1 Independiente Medellin
Apr 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Rionegro Aguilas
Rionegro Aguilas 2-2 Once Caldas
Apr 26, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Fortaleza 2-0 Rionegro Aguilas
Apr 19, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rionegro Aguilas 0-3 Athletico Junior
Apr 11, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Rionegro Aguilas 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga
Apr 07, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Deportes Tolima 4-1 Rionegro Aguilas
Apr 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Independiente Medellin vs Rionegro Aguilas, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 08, 2025Rionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin2-1
Over 2.5✓
Mar 30, 2025Independiente MedellinRionegro Aguilas0-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 15, 2024Rionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin1-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 04, 2024Independiente MedellinRionegro Aguilas1-0
Under 2.5✕
Aug 26, 2023Rionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin1-1
Under 2.5✕