Home/Portugal Tips/Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Primeira LigaMonday, 04 May 2026 · Full-time5-1✓
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

VS
VIT

Vitoria Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction

Over2.5 goals
76% confidence

Why we picked this for Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes, at 76% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Sporting Lisbon's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Vitoria Guimaraes's games averaged 2.6, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. A confidence of 76% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 5-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
2.6
avg goals, Vitoria Guimaraes last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Tondela
Apr 29, 2026
Over 2.5✓
AVS 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Apr 26, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Benfica
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Apr 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Apr 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Rio Ave
Apr 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Apr 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
AVS 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Apr 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 5-0 Tondela
Apr 03, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Benfica 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Mar 21, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria Guimaraes, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 23, 2025Vitoria GuimaraesSporting Lisbon1-4
Over 2.5✓
May 17, 2025Sporting LisbonVitoria Guimaraes2-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 03, 2025Vitoria GuimaraesSporting Lisbon4-4
Over 2.5✓
Apr 21, 2024Sporting LisbonVitoria Guimaraes3-0
Over 2.5✓
Dec 09, 2023Vitoria GuimaraesSporting Lisbon3-2
Over 2.5✓