Home/Mexico Tips/Deportivo Toluca vs Pachuca
Liga MXMonday, 04 May 2026 · Full-time0-1✕
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

VS
PAC

Pachuca

Deportivo Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
71% confidence

Why we picked this for Deportivo Toluca vs Pachuca

Our pick for Deportivo Toluca vs Pachuca in Liga MX is Over 2.5 goals, with 71% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Deportivo Toluca's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Pachuca (3.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 71%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
3.8
avg goals, Pachuca last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca 4-1 Leon
Apr 26, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Mazatlan 4-3 Deportivo Toluca
Apr 23, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Club America 2-1 Deportivo Toluca
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
Apr 13, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Queretaro 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Apr 05, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Pachuca
Pachuca 0-2 Pumas UNAM
Apr 26, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Club Tijuana 3-1 Pachuca
Apr 23, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Monterrey 1-3 Pachuca
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna
Apr 12, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Cruz Azul 1-2 Pachuca
Apr 05, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Deportivo Toluca vs Pachuca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 23, 2026PachucaDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✕
Oct 27, 2025Deportivo TolucaPachuca2-2
Over 2.5✓
Mar 30, 2025Deportivo TolucaPachuca3-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 18, 2024PachucaDeportivo Toluca2-2
Over 2.5✓
Mar 31, 2024PachucaDeportivo Toluca2-3
Over 2.5✓