Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid
Our pick for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid in Champions League is Under 2.5 goals, with 81% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Arsenal's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.8 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Atletico Madrid (3.6 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 81%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 4 meetings
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid | Arsenal | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 03, 2018 | Atletico Madrid | Arsenal | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 26, 2018 | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |