Home/Brazil Tips/Bahia vs Cruzeiro MG
Serie ASunday, 10 May 2026 · Full-time1-2✓
BAH

Bahia

VS
CRU

Cruzeiro MG

Bahia vs Cruzeiro MG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
53% confidence

Why we picked this for Bahia vs Cruzeiro MG

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Bahia vs Cruzeiro MG, at 53% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Bahia's games produced 1.4 goals on average, 0 of them over 2.5. Cruzeiro MG's games averaged 2.2, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 53%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.4
avg goals, Bahia last 5
2.2
avg goals, Cruzeiro MG last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bahia
Internacional RS 0-1 Bahia
Mar 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria BA
Mar 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 2-0 O'Higgins
Feb 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
O'Higgins 1-0 Bahia
Feb 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Cruzeiro MG
Universidad Catolica 0-0 Cruzeiro MG
May 07, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Cruzeiro MG 1-0 Boca Juniors
Apr 29, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Cruzeiro MG 1-2 Universidad Catolica
Apr 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Barcelona SC 0-1 Cruzeiro MG
Apr 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Cruzeiro MG 3-3 Vasco da Gama
Mar 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Bahia vs Cruzeiro MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 16, 2025BahiaCruzeiro MG1-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 18, 2025Cruzeiro MGBahia3-0
Over 2.5✓
Oct 19, 2024Cruzeiro MGBahia1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jun 23, 2024BahiaCruzeiro MG4-1
Over 2.5✓
Oct 26, 2023Cruzeiro MGBahia3-0
Over 2.5✓