Home/Greece Tips/AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos
Super LeagueSunday, 10 May 2026 · Full-time2-1✕
AEK

AEK Athens

VS
PAN

Panathinaikos

AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Prediction

Under2.5 goals
91% confidence

Why we picked this for AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos

For this Super League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos, at 91% confidence. In their last 5 matches, AEK Athens's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Panathinaikos's games averaged 1.8, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, AEK Athens last 5
1.8
avg goals, Panathinaikos last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

AEK Athens
Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens
May 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
AEK Athens 3-0 PAOK Thessaloniki
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✕
AEK Athens 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Apr 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 3-0 AEK Athens
Apr 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 AEK Athens
Apr 05, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens
May 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Panathinaikos 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus
Apr 19, 2026
Under 2.5✓
PAOK Thessaloniki 0-0 Panathinaikos
Apr 05, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panathinaikos
Mar 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Betis 4-0 Panathinaikos
Mar 19, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 03, 2026PanathinaikosAEK Athens0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 18, 2026AEK AthensPanathinaikos4-0
Over 2.5✕
Nov 30, 2025PanathinaikosAEK Athens2-3
Over 2.5✕
May 04, 2025AEK AthensPanathinaikos1-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 06, 2025PanathinaikosAEK Athens3-1
Over 2.5✕