Home/Portugal Tips/Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon
Primeira LigaMonday, 11 May 2026 · Full-time1-4✓
RIO

Rio Ave

VS
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Over2.5 goals
84% confidence

Why we picked this for Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Our pick for Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon in Primeira Liga is Over 2.5 goals, with 84% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Rio Ave's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Sporting Lisbon (3.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 84%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-4. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
2.2
avg goals, Rio Ave last 5
3.0
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Rio Ave
Rio Ave 0-0 Gil Vicente
May 03, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Rio Ave
Apr 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rio Ave 2-2 AVS
Apr 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Apr 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Rio Ave 1-2 Alverca
Apr 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
May 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Tondela
Apr 29, 2026
Over 2.5✓
AVS 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Apr 26, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Benfica
Apr 19, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Apr 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 28, 2025Sporting LisbonRio Ave4-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 18, 2025Rio AveSporting Lisbon0-3
Over 2.5✓
Aug 09, 2024Sporting LisbonRio Ave3-1
Over 2.5✓
Feb 25, 2024Rio AveSporting Lisbon3-3
Over 2.5✓
Sep 25, 2023Sporting LisbonRio Ave2-0
Under 2.5✕