Primeira LigaMonday, 11 May 2026 · Full-time2-0✓
TON
Tondela
VS
MOR
Moreirense
Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction
Under2.5 goals
54% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Tondela vs Moreirense
Our pick for Tondela vs Moreirense in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 54% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Tondela's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Moreirense (2.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 54%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 2-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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2.6
avg goals, Tondela last 5
2.8
avg goals, Moreirense last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Tondela
Casa Pia Atletico 0-1 Tondela
Under 2.5✓May 03, 2026
Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Tondela
Over 2.5✕Apr 29, 2026
Tondela 0-2 Nacional
Under 2.5✓Apr 25, 2026
Porto 2-0 Tondela
Under 2.5✓Apr 19, 2026
Tondela 2-2 Gil Vicente
Over 2.5✕Apr 13, 2026
Moreirense
Moreirense 3-2 Estrela da Amadora
Over 2.5✕May 02, 2026
Benfica 4-1 Moreirense
Over 2.5✕Apr 25, 2026
Moreirense 1-0 Estoril
Under 2.5✓Apr 20, 2026
Famalicao 1-1 Moreirense
Under 2.5✓Apr 10, 2026
Moreirense 0-1 Sporting de Braga
Under 2.5✓Apr 04, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Tondela vs Moreirense, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Moreirense | Tondela | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Moreirense | Tondela | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Tondela | Moreirense | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Moreirense | Tondela | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 03, 2022 | Tondela | Moreirense | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |