Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Why we picked this for Southampton vs Middlesbrough
Our pick for Southampton vs Middlesbrough in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 79% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Southampton's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Middlesbrough (3.0 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 79%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Southampton vs Middlesbrough, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | Middlesbrough | Southampton | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 04, 2026 | Middlesbrough | Southampton | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Southampton | Middlesbrough | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Southampton | Middlesbrough | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Middlesbrough | Southampton | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |