Home/Portugal Tips/Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Primeira LigaSaturday, 16 May 2026 · Full-time2-0✕
NAC

Nacional

VS
VIT

Vitoria Guimaraes

Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction

Over2.5 goals
58% confidence

Why we picked this for Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Nacional against Vitoria Guimaraes (Primeira Liga), rated at 58% confidence. Matches involving Nacional produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Vitoria Guimaraes it is 2.4 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 58%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Nacional last 5
2.4
avg goals, Vitoria Guimaraes last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nacional
Santa Clara 2-0 Nacional
May 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Nacional 1-2 AVS
May 02, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Tondela 0-2 Nacional
Apr 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Nacional 1-0 Alverca
Apr 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Benfica 2-0 Nacional
Apr 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia Atletico
May 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
May 04, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Rio Ave
Apr 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Apr 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
AVS 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Apr 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 02, 2026Vitoria GuimaraesNacional2-1
Over 2.5✓
May 03, 2025NacionalVitoria Guimaraes1-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 23, 2024Vitoria GuimaraesNacional2-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 26, 2021NacionalVitoria Guimaraes1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 21, 2021Vitoria GuimaraesNacional3-1
Over 2.5✓