Home/Switzerland Tips/Lugano vs FC Basel
Super LeagueSunday, 17 May 2026 · Full-time4-0✓
LUG

Lugano

VS
FC

FC Basel

Lugano vs FC Basel Prediction

Over2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Lugano vs FC Basel

Our pick for Lugano vs FC Basel in Super League is Over 2.5 goals, with 51% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Lugano's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for FC Basel (3.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 51% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 4-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Lugano last 5
3.4
avg goals, FC Basel last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lugano
FC Sion 2-2 Lugano
May 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Lugano 1-2 St. Gallen
May 10, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Lugano 1-0 Young Boys
May 03, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Thun 0-1 Lugano
Apr 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Zurich 0-1 Lugano
Apr 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
FC Basel
FC Basel 1-3 St. Gallen
May 14, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Young Boys 3-0 FC Basel
May 10, 2026
Over 2.5✓
FC Basel 3-1 Thun
May 02, 2026
Over 2.5✓
FC Basel 0-2 FC Sion
Apr 26, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Thun 3-1 FC Basel
Apr 18, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Lugano vs FC Basel, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 15, 2026FC BaselLugano1-1
Under 2.5✕
Nov 09, 2025FC BaselLugano0-1
Under 2.5✕
Aug 10, 2025LuganoFC Basel3-1
Over 2.5✓
May 10, 2025LuganoFC Basel2-5
Over 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2025FC BaselLugano2-0
Under 2.5✕