EredivisieThursday, 21 May 2026 · Full-time2-0✕
AJA
Ajax
VS
GRO
Groningen
Ajax vs Groningen Prediction
Over2.5 goals
74% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Ajax vs Groningen
Our pick for Ajax vs Groningen in Eredivisie is Over 2.5 goals, with 74% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Ajax's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Groningen (3.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.
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2.4
avg goals, Ajax last 5
3.0
avg goals, Groningen last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Ajax
Heerenveen 0-0 Ajax
Under 2.5✕May 17, 2026
Ajax 1-2 Utrecht
Over 2.5✓May 10, 2026
Ajax 2-2 PSV
Over 2.5✓May 02, 2026
NAC 0-2 Ajax
Under 2.5✕Apr 25, 2026
Heracles Almelo 0-3 Ajax
Over 2.5✓Apr 11, 2026
Groningen
Heracles Almelo 1-2 Groningen
Over 2.5✓May 17, 2026
Groningen 2-1 NEC
Over 2.5✓May 10, 2026
Groningen 2-3 Excelsior Rotterdam
Over 2.5✓May 02, 2026
Feyenoord 3-1 Groningen
Over 2.5✓Apr 25, 2026
Groningen 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Under 2.5✕Apr 11, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Ajax vs Groningen, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 07, 2026 | Groningen | Ajax | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 02, 2025 | Ajax | Groningen | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 14, 2025 | Groningen | Ajax | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Ajax | Groningen | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 16, 2023 | Groningen | Ajax | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |