Home/Uruguay Tips/Danubio vs Progresso
Primera DivisionSaturday, 30 May 2026 · Full-time1-2✕
DAN

Danubio

VS
PRO

Progresso

Danubio vs Progresso Prediction

Under2.5 goals
67% confidence

Why we picked this for Danubio vs Progresso

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Danubio vs Progresso, at 67% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Danubio's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Progresso's games averaged 2.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Danubio last 5
2.4
avg goals, Progresso last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Danubio
Danubio 4-1 Juventud
Mar 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
CA Penarol 1-1 Danubio
Mar 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Danubio 2-2 Progresso
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Racing Club de Montevideo 4-0 Danubio
Feb 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Danubio 2-0 Boston River
Feb 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Progresso
CA Cerro 0-1 Progresso
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Progresso 2-2 Albion Montevideo
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Danubio 2-2 Progresso
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Progresso 0-1 Club Nacional Montevideo
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progresso
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Danubio vs Progresso, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 28, 2026DanubioProgresso2-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 24, 2025ProgressoDanubio1-0
Under 2.5✓
May 31, 2025ProgressoDanubio0-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 23, 2025DanubioProgresso1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 12, 2024ProgressoDanubio0-0
Under 2.5✓